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EFFECTS OF HURRICANE KATRINA ON SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI COASTAL FORESTS AND PROJECTED POST-HURRICANE RESPONSES: A MULTI-SCALE EVALUATION


Research by Dr. John Kupfer
Department of Geography


To better understand how Hurricane Katrina affected forested ecosystems in southern Mississippi and how these ecosystems are likely to respond in the future, University of South Carolina researchers analyzed data on the structure and composition of different forest community strata, conducted seed-bank germination trials, estimated plant stress via productivity, chlorophyll and soil redox measures, and analyzed soils for a range of edaphic characteristics.

Researchers had three goals at the outset of this study: 1) Determine the effects of the storm surge on coastal-zone soil chemistry 2) Estimate plant stress related to soil changes and storm damage via measures of plant productivity, chlorophyll, and soil redox potential 3) Clarify the effects of forest structure, composition, history, setting, and landscape context on wind-caused damage patterns

Researchers started out with an understanding that forest recovery after a natural disturbance is a function of the effects of the disturbance on the existing community (e.g., survivorship and mortality), responses of surviving individuals to changing and often stressful environmental conditions based on species-specific physiological adaptations and life history traits, and germination and establishment of new individuals from the soil seed bank or from seeds arriving from off-site sources.

USC researchers initiated a multi-scale study that combines field-based research, greenhouse studies, remote sensing and spatial analysis. Although their emphasis in the initial phase of this study was on the direct impacts of the hurricane on forest ecosystems, the researchers actually conducted two parallel studies. In coastal forests and salt marshes located around St. Louis Bay, they performed repeat sampling of soils to examine the effects of the hurricane storm surge on soil characteristics. Researchers will combine these analyses with measures of forest structure, damage, stress, and productivity to be taken in 2006 to clarify the mechanical and chemical effects of storm surge on the affected ecosystems. The second component of the study, conducted in nearby DeSoto National Forest, used pre- and post-hurricane forest surveys and aerial photography to explore patterns and controls of wind-related forest damage at scales ranging from individual trees to forest stands to entire forested landscapes.

According to researchers, this study was only a first step in understanding the resilience of coastal forests affected by Hurricane Katrina, but several patterns have already emerged. Soil samples taken one month after the hurricane showed substantially higher concentrations of sodium, phosphorous, magnesium, calcium and potassium, as well as differences in pH, cation-exchange capacity, and nitrogen in storm-surged areas. Researchers reported that soils in areas with hydric soils (i.e., floodplains) have been responding differently since the hurricane from non-hydric soils, presumably because of different rates of leaching and other ecological processes.

The study of wind damage is ongoing, but USC researchers have linked patterns of damage severity to both broad-scale controls, especially proximity to the hurricane’s eye (a surrogate for wind speed), and stand-level characteristics, including stand structure and history (e.g., logging history), topography (e.g., floodplain vs. slope or ridgetop locations) and composition (e.g., pine vs. hardwood components). Researchers also reconstructed patterns and directions of severe winds using ground surveys and aerial photographs taken shortly after the hurricane. These reconstructions will be used to develop and validate models of surface wind flow patterns and predict susceptibility of forests to future hurricanes.

Forest damage from Hurricane Katrina was caused by high winds, with wind gusts exceeding 100 mph as far as 100 miles inland, and hurricane storm surge, which exceeded 30 feet along much of the Mississippi coastline and penetrated more than three miles inland in some places. The effects of the storm surge on coastal ecosystems included mechanical damage from wave force, effects of salt spray deposited on forest canopies above the high-water mark, and chemical alterations of the soil that can adversely affect coastal forests in a number of ways. High winds damaged or destroyed billions of dollars of timber on 5 million acres in Mississippi, Alabama and Louisiana. Inventories indicate that one-third of the timber damaged was concentrated in eight counties in southern Mississippi.

As part of a graduate seminar, 10 USC graduate students accompanied Dr. Kupfer and researchers from the University of Memphis on a data collection trip to southern Mississippi in February 2006. The USC students helped analyze data gathered on this trip and prepare manuscripts for publication in refereed journals. This project created collaborations among three universities with strong research interests in coastal ecology, including the University of Southern Mississippi, which was damaged by Hurricane Katrina and lost its Gulf Coast campus. It has also fostered collaborations between the USC Geography Department and forest managers at DeSoto National Forest.

Results from this project are being disseminated to both peer-reviewed professional journals as well as more general readership outlets. Researchers are also collaborating with the research group headed by Drs. Fletcher and Porter on joint projects related to coastal zone ecosystem recovery and monitoring. Researchers hope that the study will provide insights on forest susceptibility to hurricanes that might help to guide forest management, both before and after future events, in hurricane-prone areas.

On a personal note, Dr. Kupfer said that he has worked in other areas affected by natural catastrophes such as wildfire, but nothing could have prepared him for what he saw along the Mississippi coastline. Nonetheless, during his time working there, he said he was witness to the resilience of both the people and ecosystems of southern Mississippi.

Biography

Dr. John Kupfer is a biogeographer and landscape ecologist with an extensive background in forest disturbance ecology and particular interests in the interactions between spatial ecosystem pattern and process. His work has focused on post-disturbance vegetation dynamics and forest succession in a range of settings throughout the United States and Central America, with a particular emphasis on forest heterogeneity and the impacts of forest fragmentation. His projects typically integrate the collection of field data on forest ecosystem attributes with geospatial techniques, including remote sensing, GIS and spatial analysis. He held academic positions at the University of Utah, the University of Memphis, and the University of Arizona before joining the Department of Geography at the University of South Carolina as an associate professor in 2005.

Research Team/Collaborators:

Dr. John Kupfer, Department of Geography, University of South Carolina. Dr. Kupfer’s research integrates field work, remote sensing, GIS and spatial analysis to examine post-disturbance vegetation dynamics and forest succession. Dr. Scott Franklin, Department of Biology, University of Memphis. Dr. Franklin’s research focuses on short and long-term responses of plant communities to a range of natural disturbances. Dr. S. Reza Pezeshki, Department of Biology, University of Memphis. Dr. Pezeshki’s areas are plant stress physiology, plant responses to environmental change, and wetland plant ecology. Dr. Clifton Dixon, Department of Geography and Geology, University of Southern Mississippi. Dr. Dixon’s research focus is on historic landscape change and environmental impacts of tourist-related development on coastal and marine systems.